Modelling Olympic performance Economic briefing paper by PWC

[Román Culebro Martínez]

This paper presents analysis on the determinants of past Olympic Games performance and uses this to produce some benchmarks against which performance at the 2016 Olympics Games can be judged. This updates similar analysis we produced around the time of the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 Olympic Games.  The following factors were found to be statistically significant in explaining the number of medals won by each country at past Olympic Games: size of economies (measured by GDP at purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rates); performance in the previous two Olympic Games; and whether the country is the host nation. 

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